Savings & Investments Donegal
How can you invest for your future?
Most people will have some form of savings in place. Savings can be for a specific purpose, like paying for your children’s education or paying off your mortgage early. You may just want to build up a “rainy day fund” that can help you deal with unexpected costs or finance some home improvements, or you may already have a lump sum that you want to put aside for the future.
Currently, deposit rates aren’t as attractive as they once were, but there are options available to you that can get your money working hard for you. It might be time to look into a longer-term plan for your savings.
Longer-term saving typically involves some element of risk. While the majority of investment products involve an element of risk, over the long term they may give you a better return than a simple savings account. With any investment product, you need to thoroughly consider the level of risk involved. Bear in mind that investing in a high-risk product could result in you losing some or all of your money.
Fact File
Savings can be for a specific purpose, like paying for your children’s education or paying off your mortgage early
The main types of savings and investment products on the market are:
There are many different types of savings and investment products on the market, each with varying levels of risk and return.
Here are four of the main types of savings and investment products:
Fixed-term deposits
These deposit accounts are typically for a set period of time at a fixed rate of interest that would be generally higher than interest rates offered for regular savings accounts. By saving your money in one of these accounts you understand that you cannot access your money during the fixed term. Deposit accounts are low in risk but on the flip side they tend to produce low returns over the longer term.
Investment funds
These vary by what the particular fund invests in – whether it’s shares in top multinationals, large commercial properties, fixed interest securities issued by Governments and large companies or deposits. Some funds may invest in just one type of asset, for example, an Equity Fund which only invests in shares in top multinationals. Other funds, referred to as Managed or Mixed Funds, invest in a mix of shares, property and fixed interest securities.
Please Note: Investment funds are subject to investment risk. Their value at any time could fall below the amount you invested and are generally only suitable for longer term investment, such as five years or more. The level of risk attached to a particular investment fund will vary by what the fund invests in.
To guide you, funds are typically graded on a scale of 1-7 with 1 being the lowest risk and 7 being the highest risk.
- Tracker bonds:
- These bonds typically lock up a lump sum for a term of about five years. At the end of the term you are usually guaranteed to get back at least what you invested (or a high percentage of what you invested, such as 90%), together with a bonus related to the growth, if any, in one or more stock markets or in the shares of certain large multinationals.
If the particular stock market or shares to which the bonus is linked, do not increase in value over the term, there is no bonus payable at maturity and in this case, you would get back the guaranteed capital sum only, which would typically be the amount you invested.
Long term savings plans:
These plans are available from a life insurance company. They accumulate a capital sum over the longer term from regular monthly savings. The recommended minimum term for plans like these is five years and your savings are typically invested in the type of investment funds outlined above.
Your Trusted Financial Advisor can help you to decide what type of plan best suits you. They will ask you about your financial goals and your attitude to risk and help you come up with a savings and investment plan that helps you reach your goals.
What is a Financial Broker Donegal?
Savings and Investment Donegal
A Financial Broker is an expert in financial matters who works with you to understand your savings and investment goals and objectives, and helps you create a plan to meet those goals. Your Financial Broker will research the options available to you including deposits, investment funds, savings plans and tracker bonds, from the range of companies they deal with.
Why would I need to use a Financial Broker like Advice First Financial Letterkenny?
Choosing the right savings and investment products can be a daunting task. Some savings and investment products may be suitable for you, and some may not.
As your personal and financial circumstances change over time, so will your savings and investment needs. Advice First will be able to explain the choices available to you in simple language allowing you to make an informed decision.
We will guide you through the basic elements of investing – risk and return, diversification, and your attitude to risk – and ensure you understand what’s at stake.
We will get to know you, your personal and financial circumstances, financial plans and your attitude to and capacity for investment risk – products like investment funds, for example, can contain a level of risk that you need to be aware of.
We will guide you through the process of setting up your savings and investment product and help you to make sense of charges, tax on returns and investment risk. We will advise and assist you in developing a well-researched and structured savings and investment portfolio that is compatible with your attitude to and capacity for investment risk and is designed to achieve your goals as far as possible. Ultimately, we will ensure you choose the products best suited to you.
Your Advice First Advisor will guide you through the basic elements of investing
What kind of return should you expect on your investment?
The longer the term, the more impact even a small extra return will make on your investment due to the return multiplying over time.
Take for example €20,000 invested for 5, 10, and 20 years and say your options are 1% per year on deposit; 3% per year on a mid-risk fund and 5% per year on a higher-risk fund (after taxes and charges). Let’s look at your potential return:
It’s important to remember though that investment returns can fluctuate, and you may not get the average return (it could be higher or lower).
There are typically no guarantees with riskier investments but the difference on expected returns widens the longer your investment term.
Additionally, while stock markets and other equity-based investments can be volatile and subject to sudden drops, they tend to trend upwards over time so if you have a long-time horizon, you can “ride out” the ups and downs of riskier funds.
Another factor to consider is how safe are investments? Without doubt, the financial crisis has reshaped the view of what is considered safe for your money, but what about inflation?
This erodes what your lump sum is worth in the future.
Investments with low volatility (deposits, government bonds, etc.) tend to have greater inflation risk and again this is magnified for longer investment terms. Shares, property and other “real” assets have in-built protection against higher inflation.
For these reasons, it is generally recommended that you take on some investment risks when investing for the longer term to protect against inflation, but it is a complex area, and you will benefit from guidance from a Trusted Financial Advisor.
How much risk should you take on?
This depends on your risk preference, your capacity to withstand risk and your financial objectives. You may think you have an innate knowledge of your risk preference, but this can be more scientifically measured by risk preference tools (questionnaires).
You can ask your advisor for details on these questionnaires. Your risk capacity depends on your personal and financial circumstances – how much can you afford to lose on your initial investment?
This is an area where your trusted financial advisor can give you key advice. Finally, you need to consider your investment term (as above).
What are you hoping to achieve with your fund?
Is there a required rate of return needed for this?
What is the risk-return trade off? Are you making this decision with your spouse/civil partner who might have different views to your own?
At Advice First we regularly deal with these elements when deciding on appropriate risk and we can guide you in determining your risk profile.
Your Advisor For Life
This is an area where Advice First Financial can give you key advice
Factors you should consider when choosing a savings and investment product
When you choose a savings and investment product, whether it’s a deposit account or an investment fund, there will be a number of different things to consider:
- What’s the recommended minimum savings and investment term of the product?
Some products may be suitable for short-term investment, while others may require you to take a longer-term view. - What kind of access will I have to my money?
Some products offer immediate access while others may lock up your money for a particular period.
- Does this product provide an income or capital growth?
Some products may be geared to provide regular income along the way, while others provide the opportunity for capital growth. - What is the associated investment risk?
Some products may guarantee to return your full investment while others may involve a risk of getting back less than you put in. - How will my returns be taxed?
The income and/or capital gain you earn may be taxed in different ways, depending on the type of product.
For example, deposit interest may be subject to Deposit Interest Retention Tax (DIRT) while gains from life assurance savings and investment policies are subject to an ‘exit tax’ deduction before payment to you.
Investments can be complex but getting the right fund for you can make a serious difference to your eventual return, especially for longer term savings and investments.
Your Trusted Financial Advisor will be able to guide you through the different options available to you. Based on their knowledge of your financial circumstances, your goals and your attitude to risk, they can help you choose a particular product that will meet your requirements and help you achieve your financial objectives.
Risk Assessment Process
Helping You to Understand Investment Risk
As a Financial Advisors authorised by the Central Bank we are obliged to provide investment advice which is suitable. Suitability in relation to investment advice or products is of necessity somewhat subjective and an area where experts frequently differ. It is a complex area that presents challenges for product providers, Financial Advisors and people in general.
Even if the risk categorisation of individual products was perfectly consistent, professional skill and judgement is required.
Fact-Find
As Financial Advisors we are obliged by law to go through what is commonly referred to as a ‘Knowing Your Consumer’ (‘KYC’) process before giving any financial advice. We also feel this is crucial to giving you a quality service, since advice that is suitable can only be based on a proper knowledge of your financial circumstances, needs, objectives and priorities.
To assist us in the KYC process we have developed a template Fact-Find document, which aims to gather sufficient information about your assets and liabilities, income and outgoings, anticipated future commitments etc. Questions in relation to age/dependents/marital status/health/employment details will also form part of the process.
It is especially relevant in the case of investment advice that we are informed about the level of experience and understanding you have of investment products and markets.
Where investment advice is concerned the completed Fact-Find is vital in helping us to form a view on your capacity to bear risk. The Consumer Protection Code (CPC) specifically obliges us to assess your capacity to bear any risks attaching to products or services we recommend.
While it also obliges us to align advice with your attitude to risk, many people’s capacity to bear risk is less than the risk they believe they could handle. We may look to complete a new Fact-Find periodically and after major life events.
Risk Profiling
In tandem with the Fact-Find we will guide you through a Risk Profiling exercise, which takes approximately 5-10 minutes. Based on the answers you give to the questions you will be categorised within one of a number of risk classifications.
We will discuss the results of the risk profiling exercise with you and should you be uncomfortable with or unsure about the outcome you will be offered an opportunity to repeat the process. The classifications arising from our risk profiling process are aimed at gauging your approximate psychological disposition towards investment risk. (This is the purpose of most risk profiling tools but may vary depending on the profiling tool being used). Although research suggests this is not a characteristic or trait which changes much over time, risk profiling is an exercise which it is useful to repeat periodically.
It is a specific obligation under the CPC that in the Statement of Suitability attached to our advice (commonly known as ‘Reasons Why’ documentation) we show how the risk profile of the investment(s) we recommend to you are aligned with your attitude to risk.
Discussion
The completed Fact-Find, an assessment of your capacity to bear risk and the completed Risk Profile are the key building blocks needed to frame investment advice: however only a discussion with you will ensure that we have gained a thorough insight into your circumstances and a clear understanding of your financial needs, objectives and priorities.
In situations involving more than one person this is even more important, as the most suitable investment advice will represent a blend of what might have been given to the individuals involved. While in the case of a couple the assets/liabilities/ income/outgoings may be common, attitudes to risk are frequently very different.
Risk, Return and Inflation
The idea that higher-risk investments should offer potentially higher returns is understood by most people – otherwise everyone’s money would stay on deposit. Most of us understand that in normal circumstances and over time a deposit with a very secure bank will generate a fairly consistent, low return. We also understand that riskier investment such as shares or property have the potential to generate significantly higher returns than money in the bank.
What is less well appreciated is the power of compounding better returns over time. The simple example below shows the growth of a €10,000 investment returning (i) 2% and (ii) 6% over 5, 10 and 15 years. After 15 years, the 6% investment has earned a cumulative 124% whereas investing at 2% earned just 35%

Over the longer term the potential impact of inflation on savings and investments must also be recognised; deposits and other financial assets are particularly vulnerable to inflation.
In a world experiencing the 2% inflation typically targeted by central banks, cash loses 33% of its value in 20 years.
At 3%, cash loses a quarter of its value in just 10 years.
An understanding of the tension between the need to generate returns above inflation and the willingness or capacity for you to take on risk is at the core of the process and central to how your Advice First Advisor would frame your investment advice.
Measuring Investment Risk
The words ‘risk’ and ‘volatility’ are used almost interchangeably when looking at investing, here we will show there are different types of risk, and many causes.
The word ‘volatility’ more properly refers to the variability of returns – put simply, how much outcomes are likely to jump around from one period to another, and in relation to an average or projected outcome. We define it more precisely below.
While there is a large body of academic work on investment risk and there are some widely used risk measures, caution is advised in relying on those metrics. In the first instance, all measures are based on the past and the future may be quite different: past data shows how a given measure used on the same asset over two different time periods can indicate substantially different risk characteristics. Secondly, any one measure can only describe one aspect of investment risk. Some risks do not lend themselves to quantifying in a single number.
What is Volatility?
The most widely used measure of risk is volatility. This is defined as the standard deviation of actual periodic investment returns, computed over a reasonable sample size. It measures the degree to which returns vary from one period to the next and indicates (in so far as the future will be like the past) how much future returns are likely to deviate from the average.
The use of volatility is based on the belief that investment returns for most assets broadly conform to the well-known Normal Distribution (the ‘Bell Curve’).
This is a reasonable although sometimes imperfect assumption. So, as shown in the example below, if the average return from equities is 7% per annum and the volatility measure is 12%, there is a two-thirds probability that the annual return falls between -5% (7% minus 12%) and 19% (7% plus 12%). 19 out of 20 outcomes can be expected to fall within two standard deviations of the average – in this example, between -17% and +31%

Product Risk Classification
The EU Financial Regulatory Authority, known as ESMA (and previously CESR) has introduced a seven-point risk/ reward indicator system for certain types of investment products. While the regime does not currently apply to most of the funds on sale in Ireland, it is understood that all of the life assurance companies have voluntarily adopt the new risk/reward indicator during 2013.
The methodology is based on the volatility of weekly returns over the previous five years. Where funds have a shorter history, it can be augmented with data from a representative benchmark. In the case of structured products (‘tracker’ funds) or absolute return funds, where the computation of the indicator may be problematic, the fund provider will take responsibility for identifying and explaining the appropriate ESMA rating.
What is Investment Risk
To most people, the simplest definition of investment risk is the possibility that they do not get back all of their initial capital when the investment matures, or they need to encash it.
The consistent popularity of capital-guaranteed products is testimony to people’s preference for capital security.
But investment risk has a number of dimensions, and a full consideration of it must look beyond the simple definition above.
Before undertaking any investment, you should ask yourself the following questions:
- What is the time horizon of my investment?
- Is there any possibility that I may need to encash the investment earlier than that?
- What use do I plan for the proceeds of the investment and what return do I need in order to meet that target?
- If the return were to fall short of that target, how much of a shortfall could I tolerate?
- Do I need to draw an income from the investment during its lifetime?
- If the answer to 5 is ‘YES’, how much of a shortfall in the income could I tolerate?
- Am I investing a single lump sum, or do I plan on adding regular or periodic contributions?
- Even if the return at maturity meets my expectations, the market value of the investment may fluctuate along the way. How much fluctuation can I tolerate?
Some of these are difficult questions, which do not lend themselves to precise answers. They should prompt you to think more thoroughly about
- the nature of investment risk and
- how much risk you can tolerate.
At Advice First our Fact-Find process and Risk Profiling exercise will help to gauge you on the latter, but we need to ensure also that you have an adequate understanding of the different aspects of investment risk.
It is helpful to think of investment risk at two levels:
- The forms of investment risk – in what ways might my investment prove disappointing?
- The causes of investment risk – what underlying factors might cause those forms of risk to materialise?
Forms of Investment Risk
Permanent Loss of Capital
Permanent Loss of Capital is the simplest form of investment risk. Where you get back less than 100% of what you invested. In general, the more volatile the asset the greater the risk of Permanent Loss of Capital.
Shortfall Risk
Permanent Loss of Capital is really a special case of the more general Shortfall Risk. Where the investment returns less than what is needed to meet the purpose for which it was made. Over the very short term the two are the same. If you are, for example, setting aside some cash to cover known expenses falling in the near future (such as school fees, holidays etc.), then receiving back the initial investment should be sufficient, and it would not be prudent to undertake higher risk in pursuit of a higher return.
But over the longer term (such as investing to provide a retirement income twenty years from now), you will almost certainly need to generate some return to meet your objective and accept some risk that the return falls short.
A pension investor could choose to hold only cash in their fund, but the level of contributions needed to ensure an adequate pension would be prohibitive. Conversely, you could invest exclusively in shares in the expectation of a high return over the long term but must bear the risk that volatile markets fail to deliver that return.
Shortfall risk has a double-edged nature: a shortfall might happen because your investment approach was too bold, but it could also happen because you were too conservative.
Fact File
Striking the balance between risk and return is where your Trusted Advisor can add value and help you figure it out.
Shortfall Risk is inherently related to inflation. For the long-term investor, what matters is the real returns, because the spending need, they are trying to meet (such as a retirement income) is almost certainly real in nature.
Temporary Loss of Capital
We already know the fact that an investment in volatile assets (such as shares) is liable to fluctuate. Even if your eventual return is good, there may be times along the way when losses are shown. If you have a robust disposition towards risk, you may be comfortable with this and are happy to ride out the volatility in the expectation of better long-term returns.
Those of a more nervous disposition may be less well equipped to cope with it. The risk inherent in temporary loss of capital is that it prompts you to be fearful and to make a bad decision,
for example, by encashing your investment at a very low point in the market cycle or ceasing contributions to a plan.
It is important to understand the impact of volatility on you as you steadily accumulating assets, such as with a savings plan. If a constant monetary value is invested at regular intervals, then volatility is inherently good, because more of the underlying investment will be acquired at ‘low’ prices rather than at ‘high’ prices. So, fluctuation in value can be a good thing.
This is the well-known phenomenon of ‘Euro-cost averaging’.
For example, would you choose to invest two instalments of €1,000 into Company A at
(i) the same share price for both – €1.00
or
(ii) €0.80 for one and €1.20 for the other?
Of course (ii) is the better choice; it provides you with 2,083 shares as against 2,000 in the less volatile scenario.

If you were systematically selling down your portfolio in order to generate income (such as an investor in an Approved Retirement Fund) the opposite is true: higher volatility is more damaging to your wealth.
Liquidity Risk
If you might need to encash your investment earlier than planned. Liquidity Risk is the risk that, when you try to do so, it is not possible to sell at all (which is often the case with structured products) or that you can only sell at a price far below the underlying value, or that very heavy transaction costs arise. Property as an asset carries high liquidity risk; at times it may be difficult to affect a sale and transaction costs can be very high.
The early surrender penalties which commonly apply in the first five years of an Investment and or savings policy are a more general, albeit mild, form of liquidity risk.
Income Risk
Should you need to take an income for your investment this risk needs to be addressed. Sometimes the income from an asset can fall, or cease altogether, even if the capital value is unaffected.
An example might be where you invest in a rental property, and you suffer a vacancy.
If you cannot tolerate the loss of income even over a short period, you may be forced to make an unfavourable decision, such as early liquidation of the asset.
Causes of Investment Risk
Above we focused on the forms of investment risk – what are the different ways in which your investment may disappoint?
You must also be aware of the causes of investment risk – what are the possible factors which might trigger disappointing outcomes?
Market Risk
Market Risk is the foremost cause of risk in most investors’ minds. Assets such as equities (shares), bonds, property and commodities are actively traded in financial markets and their prices will always fluctuate – some more markedly than others.
Currency risk is one aspect of market risk. Price changes may be exaggerated by currency movements, with many broader-based investment funds comprising a significant proportion of non-euro assets e.g. a global equity fund is likely to have well over 50% of its holdings outside the euro area.
Markets typically move in response to interest rates, expectations of economic growth, changes in corporate profits, and a host of other factors including sentiment.
They are inherently forward-looking; the current market price of any asset is related more to future expectations than the current reality. Investor sentiment tends to be unstable, so that the fluctuation of financial market prices is usually greater than the fluctuation of the underlying fundamentals. This means that assets can often be priced well above their intrinsic value and sometimes well below, something the patient investor can exploit.
Inflation Risk
Inflation is the enemy of savers. Unlike Market Risk, it is asymmetric – it will never work in your favour. In modern developed economies, it is almost unknown for inflation to turn negative for anything but brief interludes, whereas there is a constant risk of higher positive inflation for an extended period. Central Banks typically devise monetary policy with a 2% inflation level as one of their objectives.
It is easy to underestimate the damage done by inflation over the longer term.
For example, a level of only 3% is enough to erode real purchasing power by one-quarter within ten years. Viewed in this context, a capital guarantee on the nominal value of an investment may not be the Holy Grail that you may wish to have.
To protect against inflation risk, you are obliged to take on more volatility, generally by investing at least partly in ‘real’ assets. Certain assets are regarded as ‘real’ (equities, property, commodities) and are generally expected to hold their value over the very long term in the face of rising price levels.
The linkage can be very loose and may not be relied on over the shorter term, when other factors may dominate returns. Inflation-linked bonds are a particular case of real assets, where the face value is guaranteed (by the issuer) to rise exactly in line with the price index to which they are linked.
Nominal assets (conventional bonds, bank deposits) have values which are defined strictly in monetary terms, and are much more exposed to the adverse impact of inflation.
In the case of deposits, market interest rates might be expected to go up when inflation is higher, but very often they fail to keep pace with very high inflation – as was the case in the 1970s and 1980s. Nominal bonds are very vulnerable to inflation risk and the longer the maturity the greater the risk.
Debt Risk
An investment funded wholly or partly by debt will always be riskier than one funded from your own resources. (The same is true of an asset which has debt wrapped within it, such as a highly geared company).
The effect of debt is to magnify the investor’s gains and losses from the returns on the underlying asset. This phenomenon is obvious, but what is often overlooked is the liquidity risk which debt can pose. The lender may prematurely withdraw their funding, or change the terms adversely, and the end result is often a forced disposal of the investment on unfavourable terms.
This has been the unhappy experience of many property investors in recent years. Debt Risk can often interact in a bad way with Income Risk. If the income from an asset is needed to service the debt funding it, even a temporary fall in that income can be very damaging.
Counterparty Risk
The risk that the investor suffers losses because the product provider or intermediary defaults on its obligations is known as Counterparty Risk
Counterparty Risk – Provider
With some investment products, the provider takes ownership of your money and assumes a corresponding obligation to you. Bank deposits are the most familiar form of such an investment.
Life assurance policies, in which unit-linked funds are packaged, work in the same way.
In Ireland, the Central Bank supervises the solvency of life companies, ensuring that there is a buffer of capital – the solvency margin – between their total assets and their liabilities to policyholders. The required solvency margin is set at 150% of the minimum mandated by EU rules. The balance sheets of life companies tend to be relatively stable in the face of market volatility, because assets are closely matched to policyholder liabilities. Isolated failures have occurred – notably the UK’s Equitable Life in 2000, where it could not meet guaranteed annuity rates – but in Ireland no life company has become insolvent since the 1930s.
Tracker bonds also carry counterparty risk to investment providers. The capital-guaranteed element of the investment is usually structured as a deposit with a domestic bank. The potential investment return is also the obligation of a bank, more often than not a separate investment bank. We as Financial Advisors are required to convey the level, nature and limitations of any guarantee and state how the foregoing are aligned with the your attitude to risk.
Investments in funds other than unit-linked funds or tracker bonds (generally termed collective investment schemes) do not usually involve a counterparty risk to the provider. Typically, you acquire units in a vehicle which may be a unit trust or an investment company.
Counterparty Risk – Advice First Financial
Our firm is not a product provider and does not engage in handling you cash. We will only ask for payments to be made out to the product provider or their bank account.
Just as importantly, when you encash your investment, the funds will come in the form of a cheque payable to you, issued by the product provider or transferred to your bank account. It is almost impossible, therefore, that we (or any competitor who adopts the same practices) could misappropriate your funds.
Advice First Financial is covered by the Investor Compensation Scheme. This provides compensation to private individuals of 90% of their loss, up to a maximum of €20,000, in the event that we default on our financial obligations to you.
We are also required to hold professional indemnity cover for negligent errors of €1.85 million.
Excessive Costs
Fees and charges can be quite complex and may include policy fees, allocation rates, bid/offer spreads, management fees and early surrender penalties. Over the long term the impact of charges can be very significant, and a key part of our service is to assess all the cost information and explain it to you as clearly as we can.
The level of costs and the certainty around them will form part of the analysis on which we base our advice to you.
Taxation Risk
All investments are subject to taxation, either actual or potential. Governments have virtually unlimited power to ‘move the goalposts’ and apply a harsher taxation treatment during the lifetime of your investment.
In recent years both DIRT and funds exit tax rates have been edged up and the arbitrary 0.6% levy applied to private pension funds is an even starker example of tax changes interfering with investment outcomes.
Top Tips for investing
- Diversity With Managed Funds
- Don’t pick individual stocks
- Start early, time rather than timing in the key
- Don’t let emotions get in the way
Causes of Investment Risk
Above we focused on the forms of investment risk – what are the different ways in which your investment may disappoint?
You must also be aware of the causes of investment risk – what are the possible factors which might trigger disappointing outcomes?
Market Risk
Market Risk is the foremost cause of risk in most investors’ minds. Assets such as equities (shares), bonds, property and commodities are actively traded in financial markets and their prices will always fluctuate – some more markedly than others.
Currency risk is one aspect of market risk. Price changes may be exaggerated by currency movements, with many broader-based investment funds comprising a significant proportion of non-euro assets e.g. a global equity fund is likely to have well over 50% of its holdings outside the euro area.
Markets typically move in response to interest rates, expectations of economic growth, changes in corporate profits, and a host of other factors including sentiment.
They are inherently forward-looking; the current market price of any asset is related more to future expectations than the current reality. Investor sentiment tends to be unstable, so that the fluctuation of financial market prices is usually greater than the fluctuation of the underlying fundamentals. This means that assets can often be priced well above their intrinsic value and sometimes well below, something the patient investor can exploit.
Inflation Risk
Inflation is the enemy of savers. Unlike Market Risk, it is asymmetric – it will never work in your favour. In modern developed economies, it is almost unknown for inflation to turn negative for anything but brief interludes, whereas there is a constant risk of higher positive inflation for an extended period. Central Banks typically devise monetary policy with a 2% inflation level as one of their objectives.
It is easy to underestimate the damage done by inflation over the longer term.
For example, a level of only 3% is enough to erode real purchasing power by one-quarter within ten years. Viewed in this context, a capital guarantee on the nominal value of an investment may not be the Holy Grail that you may wish to have.
To protect against inflation risk, you are obliged to take on more volatility, generally by investing at least partly in ‘real’ assets. Certain assets are regarded as ‘real’ (equities, property, commodities) and are generally expected to hold their value over the very long term in the face of rising price levels.
The linkage can be very loose and may not be relied on over the shorter term, when other factors may dominate returns. Inflation-linked bonds are a particular case of real assets, where the face value is guaranteed (by the issuer) to rise exactly in line with the price index to which they are linked.
Nominal assets (conventional bonds, bank deposits) have values which are defined strictly in monetary terms, and are much more exposed to the adverse impact of inflation.
In the case of deposits, market interest rates might be expected to go up when inflation is higher, but very often they fail to keep pace with very high inflation – as was the case in the 1970s and 1980s. Nominal bonds are very vulnerable to inflation risk and the longer the maturity the greater the risk.
Debt Risk
An investment funded wholly or partly by debt will always be riskier than one funded from your own resources. (The same is true of an asset which has debt wrapped within it, such as a highly geared company).
The effect of debt is to magnify the investor’s gains and losses from the returns on the underlying asset. This phenomenon is obvious, but what is often overlooked is the liquidity risk which debt can pose. The lender may prematurely withdraw their funding, or change the terms adversely, and the end result is often a forced disposal of the investment on unfavourable terms.
This has been the unhappy experience of many property investors in recent years. Debt Risk can often interact in a bad way with Income Risk. If the income from an asset is needed to service the debt funding it, even a temporary fall in that income can be very damaging.
Counterparty Risk
The risk that the investor suffers losses because the product provider or intermediary defaults on its obligations is known as Counterparty Risk
Counterparty Risk – Provider
With some investment products, the provider takes ownership of your money and assumes a corresponding obligation to you. Bank deposits are the most familiar form of such an investment.
Life assurance policies, in which unit-linked funds are packaged, work in the same way.
In Ireland, the Central Bank supervises the solvency of life companies, ensuring that there is a buffer of capital – the solvency margin – between their total assets and their liabilities to policyholders. The required solvency margin is set at 150% of the minimum mandated by EU rules. The balance sheets of life companies tend to be relatively stable in the face of market volatility, because assets are closely matched to policyholder liabilities. Isolated failures have occurred – notably the UK’s Equitable Life in 2000, where it could not meet guaranteed annuity rates – but in Ireland no life company has become insolvent since the 1930s.
Tracker bonds also carry counterparty risk to investment providers. The capital-guaranteed element of the investment is usually structured as a deposit with a domestic bank. The potential investment return is also the obligation of a bank, more often than not a separate investment bank. We as Financial Advisors are required to convey the level, nature and limitations of any guarantee and state how the foregoing are aligned with the your attitude to risk.
Investments in funds other than unit-linked funds or tracker bonds (generally termed collective investment schemes) do not usually involve a counterparty risk to the provider. Typically, you acquire units in a vehicle which may be a unit trust or an investment company.
Counterparty Risk – Advice First Financial
Our firm is not a product provider and does not engage in handling you cash. We will only ask for payments to be made out to the product provider or their bank account.
Just as importantly, when you encash your investment, the funds will come in the form of a cheque payable to you, issued by the product provider or transferred to your bank account. It is almost impossible, therefore, that we (or any competitor who adopts the same practices) could misappropriate your funds.
Advice First Financial is covered by the Investor Compensation Scheme. This provides compensation to private individuals of 90% of their loss, up to a maximum of €20,000, in the event that we default on our financial obligations to you.
We are also required to hold professional indemnity cover for negligent errors of €1.85 million.
Excessive Costs
Fees and charges can be quite complex and may include policy fees, allocation rates, bid/offer spreads, management fees and early surrender penalties. Over the long term the impact of charges can be very significant, and a key part of our service is to assess all the cost information and explain it to you as clearly as we can.
The level of costs and the certainty around them will form part of the analysis on which we base our advice to you.
Taxation Risk
All investments are subject to taxation, either actual or potential. Governments have virtually unlimited power to ‘move the goalposts’ and apply a harsher taxation treatment during the lifetime of your investment.
In recent years both DIRT and funds exit tax rates have been edged up and the arbitrary 0.6% levy applied to private pension funds is an even starker example of tax changes interfering with investment outcomes.
Top Tips for investing
- Diversity With Managed Funds
- Don’t pick individual stocks
- Start early, time rather than timing in the key
- Don’t let emotions get in the way
Can I reduce the risk of losing money?
Risk is probably top of mind for you right now. As a beginner, it can feel intimidating to take a leap of faith in an investment. But risk isn’t a bad thing – it’s the name of the game.
While lower risk investments are less likely to lose value over time, there is the risk that the value will not beat inflation. On the flip side, while higher risk investments might make more money in the long run, the journey isn’t as comfortable while asset values change drastically. There is a greater risk that you may lose some or all of your money, and there’s no guarantee of payoff in the end.
Beginning investing in Ireland doesn’t have to be an unknowing and risky gamble. The good news is there’s plenty of ways to help reduce your risk when investing.
Diversify
As we mentioned above, investing in diverse assets is key, because both elements spread your risk. Combining diversification with a managed fund? Now that’s the secret sauce.
Investing in assets like stocks in a single company, which can be very unpredictable, is the opposite of spreading risk – it’s effectively putting all of your eggs in just the one basket. It can not only be daunting and time-consuming – but also a bad idea for beginners. Do you have the time to go through a company’s books and make a call on its future potential?
An investment that is well diversified and also well-managed can help decrease your risk. Plus, with a managed fund you won’t have to try to research and pick the “perfect” combination of assets to diversify your investment – the expert will do the heavy lifting for you.
Invest for the long run
No one knows for sure when the stock market will peak – or bottom out. But experienced investors do understand that investing is a ‘long game’. As a rule of thumb, you should invest for 5+ years.
All you have to do is buy wisely – and then try to forget about it for a bit. Check in roughly once a year to make sure everything is on track. It’s like that feeling of finding money in the pocket of an old jacket you haven’t worn in years (if all goes well!).
Don’t let your emotions get in the way
Emotion is one of the biggest risks to investors. Jittery investors make bad decisions. Buying or selling in response to media hype or sudden market rises – or falls – can lead to bad decisions. Drown out the noise and stick to your plan.
How to choose the right investments?
Before you choose where to invest money, you’ll need to consider what level of risk you want to take. This will help you find assets that have a matching volatility.
It might be easier to think in the mindset that higher risk means greater potential profit but also higher potential losses. Keep in mind that when choosing funds with lower risk, while there’s less chance you’ll suffer a high loss, lower volatility also means the highs aren’t as high either.
Your trusted financial advisor will guide and help you figure out your risk profile.
Set your goals
Goal-based investing can help you pick a fund that’s right for you. Think about why you want to invest with the hopes of making a profit. Is it maybe:
- To go on the holiday of a lifetime
- To save a deposit for a house
- To provide for your children’s future
- To start your own business
- To protect your purchasing power on your hard-earned money
Or is it something else? When considering your goals, think at least 5 years in the future – don’t forget that investing is a long game. Make sure that you will not need to access the money you are investing in the short term.
Decide how often to invest
If you don’t have a large lump sum, that doesn’t mean you can’t invest. Investing in instalments can be a great way to get started and can be better than not investing at all.
You can invest a smaller amount and top up as often as you’d like once you have more money to invest. For example, you could siphon off a portion of your pay check each month, or save your money from take-aways for a few months and top up your investment with that money.
However, if you have the lump sum to invest from the get go while still maintaining a rainy day savings, it’s worthwhile to invest in one go. When investing, time really can equal money!
Warning: If you invest in this product, you may lose some or all of the money you invest.
Warning: The value of your investment may go down as well as up.
Warning: These funds may be affected by changes in currency exchange rates.
Jargon-Busting: Your go-to investment glossary
There’s no denying it: Investing has its fair share of technical lingo to get the hang of. So, let’s start by covering the basics.
Asset
An asset is what you invest in. Assets can be all kinds of things from art or antiques to more traditional investments like shares, property, and bonds. They can be tangible (physical items) or intangible (things that don’t physically exist but still have monetary value).
Share/Stock/Equity
A company’s ownership is divided into shares – think of a share as one slice of a pie. The value of shares can rise and fall in line with the company’s performance. The terms share, stock, and equity are often used interchangeably.
Bond
A bond is a loan of money from an investor to a company or government.
Investment Funds
A fund is typically combined money coming from multiple investors, which is designated to a specific purpose.
Managed Fund
A managed fund is overseen by an expert in investing. They’re knowledgeable about the assets and market, so can help manage risk and reduce costs.
Multi Asset Funds
Multi Asset Funds are a range of unit linked funds that are invested across multiple types of assets. The funds range from lower to higher risk depending on the combination of assets and their volatility.
Volatility
Volatility is the change in price or value of an asset, especially in the short term. This is completely normal. It can be caused by changes in the asset itself, or changes in the market.
Low volatility = less risk of large changes in value. High volatility = higher risk of drastic ups and downs.
Diversification
Diversification is one strategy to manage risk. It’s the investment form of not putting all of your eggs in one basket. If the value of one asset falls, simultaneously another might increase, lowering the risk of overall loss. An investor buys different types of assets in the hopes that it will smooth the investment journey, giving peace of mind in the long run.
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If you have questions or need Savings & Investment Advice, call 074 9103938 or email now
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Financial Products in Ireland are regulated by the Central Bank.